Trump’s Tariff Clock Is Ticking Again – And Canada Just Got Hit First

By: Gavin ThorneSeaPRwire – Trade partners wake up to fresh uncertainty. Deadlines loom. New tariffs sit on the table. The temporary 10 percent global tariffs expire this Friday. President Trump may move against dozens of countries as soon as this week. The Financial Times first reported the story. This round follows earlier legal setbacks and fresh justifications.

The timeline matters. Back in February the US Supreme Court struck down the so-called Liberation Day tariffs as unconstitutional. Trump then invoked Section 122 of the 1974 Trade Act. He slapped a 10 percent tariff on all economies for 150 days. Now that window closes. US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer spoke on CNBC. He said the administration expects to act soon. No exact schedule yet. He must notify Congress and other stakeholders first. Greer repeated the point. Action is coming soon. He hinted the next measures could target countries accused of failing to stop forced labor.

Earlier moves set the stage. In June the US Trade Representative’s office announced plans under Section 301 of the same 1974 Trade Act. They proposed 10 to 12.5 percent tariffs on 60 countries and regions. The stated reason centered on forced labor. These would replace the expiring global tariffs. Trading partners pushed back hard. Greer noted the proposal covers about 99 percent of US trade flows. He called it a clear sign of the problem’s scale. The Financial Times added that the coming tariffs will likely match the current 10 percent rate. Other investigations could open the door to higher duties later.

On the same day the White House announced 50 percent tariffs on certain Canadian products. The target is discriminatory measures in auto and auto parts trade. This marks a sharp escalation in US pressure on Canada. It is the first use of Section 338 of the 1930 Tariff Act against another country’s trade practices. The new duties take effect 30 days after signing, on August 19. They apply even to goods that qualify under the USMCA. Exemptions cover energy, potash, fish, critical minerals, and items already under Section 232 tariffs. Greer defended the step. He pointed to Canadian limits on US-made cars, alcohol, and dairy. These issues have long created friction in the relationship.

The forced labor angle adds another layer. It gives legal cover for broad action. The 60-country list touches nearly all major trade. Partners see it as protectionism wrapped in rights language. Canada responded quickly. On July 21 Prime Minister Mark Carney said he spoke directly with Trump after the announcement. Canada will weigh every option if the tariffs go live. The conversation signals high-level tension. It also leaves room for last-minute deals.

Businesses operating across borders feel the squeeze first. Supply chains that span the US and Canada face sudden cost jumps on autos and parts. Exporters to the US from the listed countries recalculate margins. Importers scramble to adjust pricing or sourcing. The 99 percent trade coverage means few sectors stay untouched. Companies that relied on the temporary 10 percent pause now confront extension or replacement with targeted hits.

Strategic calculations shift. Allies and rivals alike watch how far the US will push. The Section 338 precedent on Canada raises stakes for others. Higher tariffs from parallel investigations could follow. Trading partners must decide between compliance, retaliation, or negotiation. Past patterns show talks often intensify right before deadlines. The 150-day clock and the August 19 effective date create concrete pressure points.

For US industries the picture mixes protection and risk. Domestic auto makers might gain breathing room from Canadian duties. Yet higher input costs and disrupted cross-border flows could offset gains. Global firms with North American operations rethink investment plans. The forced labor justification broadens the net. It reaches beyond traditional trade disputes into regulatory and labor policy territory.

Practical steps emerge for affected players. Companies should review their exposure to the 60-country list and the specific Canadian measures. Diversify sourcing where possible ahead of August 19. Engage legal and trade counsel to map exemptions. Keep close watch on congressional notifications from the US Trade Representative. Those briefings often preview final details. Exporters to the US can prepare alternative markets or pricing buffers. Canadian officials and businesses will likely seek carve-outs through direct talks.

The current moves form a pattern of deadline-driven pressure. Temporary tariffs give way to more permanent tools. Legal authorities get dusted off and applied creatively. Partners react with calls and contingency plans. Outcomes remain fluid until formal announcements land. One thing stands clear. Businesses and governments need to prepare for higher barriers in key sectors right now.

Author bio: Gavin Thorne, senior researcher at a European independent strategic think tank specializing in transatlantic trade policy and geopolitical risk assessment.